Sales forecast
Coffee Shop Sales Forecast Calculator
Estimate what your coffee shop, cart, or pop-up will make in a month, then set your costs to see the net profit at the bottom. Turn on the revenue streams that fit your concept and adjust as you learn.
About $21,823 a month top line, $261,878 a year. After costs, debt, and a tax set aside, about $3,130 a month is left before owner pay, a 14 percent net margin.
A fixed shop or window with steady daily traffic.
$21,823 / mo
Markets, pop-ups, or mobile stops on set days.
Can you run this year round? Weddings, graduations, real estate, and farmers markets are seasonal, so plan for busier and slower months.
Bookings billed as a package, not per cup.
Can you run this year round? Weddings, graduations, real estate, and farmers markets are seasonal, so plan for busier and slower months.
Top line
$21,823 / mo
$261,878 / yr
Product cost (30%)
- $6,547 / mo
Card processing (2.6%)
- $567 / mo
Gross profit (67%)
$14,709 / mo
Labor (30%)
- $6,547 / mo
Rent, utilities, and overhead (19%)
- $4,250 / mo
Profit before tax (18%)
$3,912 / mo
Tax set aside (20%)
- $782 / mo
Net operating income (14%)
$3,130 / mo
$37,554 / yr
You're not working in the shop, so this is the business's net operating income after paying all staff and a tax set aside. What you take out, and how, depends on your structure below.
Paying yourself
Compare structures →Because you hire out the work, the net operating income above is the business's return. How you take it out depends on your structure:
Take your pay as an owner's draw. Profit passes through to your taxes, so you can keep some in the business, reinvest, or distribute the rest.
Break even and goals
A sandbox for forecasting. Set a goal, then lean on daily service or events to see the pace it takes. Nothing here changes your forecast above.
Break even
$16,019 / mo
$192,231 / yr in sales
The monthly sales that cover every cost with nothing left over.
At a $6.00 ticket, the goal is about 88 a day, about 11 an hour.
You are exploring 120 a day, about 32 above the goal.
This sandbox holds your other streams and costs where they are. Use the sliders in Estimate sales to change your real forecast.
Your numbers save in this browser and carry into the Sales and Profit and Loss step of your roadmap.
How it works
- Turn on the revenue streams that fit you: a storefront runs on daily service, markets and pop-ups on event days, catering on a fixed fee.
- Set your daily transactions and average ticket. Product cost and labor move with sales; rent, utilities, and other lines stay fixed.
- Read the net profit at the bottom. It is before owner pay, loan payments, and taxes, so leave room.
Questions
- How much can a coffee shop make per month?
- It depends on your transactions per day and average ticket. A small shop doing 150 tickets a day at a $6 average runs about $27,000 a month in sales; this tool lets you set your own numbers and see the profit after costs.
- Do I need an account to use it?
- No. The forecast runs entirely in your browser. If you build a launch roadmap on ShopLaunch, the numbers you enter here show up on your Sales and Profit and Loss step.